ECONOMICS, MANAGEMENT AND ORGANIZATION OF CONSTRUCTION PROCESSES

INFLUENCE OF RANDOM FACTORS ON THE TRAJECTORY OF THE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF INVESTMENT AND CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITY AT HIERARCHY LEVELS

Vestnik MGSU 10/2015
  • Sborshchikov Sergey Borisovich - Moscow State University of Civil Engineering (National Research University) (MGSU) octor of Economic Sciences, Candidate of Technical Sciences, Head of Department of Technology, Organization and Management in Construction, Moscow State University of Civil Engineering (National Research University) (MGSU), 26 Yaroslavskoe shosse, Moscow, 129337, Russian Federation.
  • Lazareva Natal’ya Valer’evna - Moscow State University of Civil Engineering (National Research University) (MGSU) Assistant Lecturer, Department of Technology, Organization and Management in the Construction, Moscow State University of Civil Engineering (National Research University) (MGSU), 26 Yaroslavskoe shosse, Moscow, 129337, Russian Federation.

Pages 162-170

Identification of the random component in the development of investment and construction activities play an important role in forecasting future conditions, as well as in determining the optimal technical and economic parameters of the system. In this regard, the task of the hierarchy level of an investment and construction activity is to set the range of possible trajectories and the likelihood of their realization. This is one of the possibilities to justify decisions aimed at bringing investment and construction activities to the path of sustainable growth. As part of the article common technical and economic systems and their constituents are discussed: certain elements (for example: construction production), the task of which is to speed up the overall process of economic growth. The creation principles of controllable economic impacts were formed, which are the driving force of the overall steady growth, which is particularly important in planning and management as a whole, as well as in the design of development trajectories. We described the required conditions for priority development of those elements of the system, which accelerate its overall growth. The Influence System (organizer of the construction) affects the dynamics of growth of the system (contractor). The scientific findings of the article describe the entropy of the probability space of sustained growth of investment and construction activities at a timepoint. Knowing the probability space of the growth of investment and construction activities and identification of entropy can be a useful tool for practical forecasting and planning of the construction and management systems at the levels of the hierarchy.

DOI: 10.22227/1997-0935.2015.10.162-170

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