Vestnik MGSU 6/2016
  • Kanen Mahmoud Fadlallah Hador - Ivanovo State Polytechnic University (IVGPU) postgraduate student, Department of Vehicles and Vehicle Fleet, Ivanovo State Polytechnic University (IVGPU), 20, 8 Marta str., Ivanovo, 153037, Russian Federation; This e-mail address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it .
  • Maslennikov Valeriy Aleksandrovich - Ivanovo State Polytechnic University (IVGPU) Candidate of Technical Sciences, Associate Professor, chair, Department of Vehicles and Vehicle Fleet, Ivanovo State Polytechnic University (IVGPU), 20, 8 Marta str., Ivanovo, 153037, Russian Federation.

Pages 107-117

The current methods of predicting the demand of the community for the lines of technical inspection of vehicles do not fully take into account the probabilistic and statistical nature of the complaints of car owners. This results in significant mistakes in the determination of the number of such lines, accompanied by insufficient rhythm of their operation. The design errors related to the complexity of accurate account for calendar fluctuations of the number of appeals can be partially or completely eliminated by using mathematical apparatus of the queuing theory. In this case, the complex technical system is considered as an open multi-channel queuing system with limited queue length. The received flows and serviced requests are considered to be the simplest. From a practical point of view, the replacement of one type of computational model by the other allows ensuring a more sustainable mode of calculating operations using the computer. The paper also provides a calculation expression for defining the lower and upper confidence limits of the dispersion of the average values of the number of arrivals of vehicles at the technical inspection that allows setting the interval of uncertainty for searching the optimal solution.

DOI: 10.22227/1997-0935.2016.6.107-117

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